As if print publications in the academic community have simply and finally given up altogether, my experience with Science Magazine over the past year has been emblematic of a business model that is struggling for survival. Let me give you some background:Summer of Science
Last summer, as the sun was shining and the birds were chirping and I was feeling the urge to expand my mind so that I can take it all in from the heavens, I decided to support my academic community and the print industry by subscribing to Science Magazine/Journal – one of the premiere science journals in the world, trumped only by Nature (which I’m also a subscriber to). Science is also a [...]
This past Wednesday, Dr. Jay W. Forrester – the pioneer of the system dynamics methodology of modeling and simulation and arguably the father of all of modern modeling and simulation passed away. Dr. Forrester created the collection of methods that is known as system dynamics.
System dynamics essentially uses differential equations to describe the stocks and flows that move and govern the behavior of systems as diverse as population growth systems, innovation adoption in a market, the movement of good through a supply chain and even the movement of fluids through a pipe. SD applications are wide and varied and honestly it would take too long to go through all [...]
My last article posted in June of 2016 talked about how in 2014 we will end up with a whole slew of new, sleek political models that will be able to “supposedly” predict the rise of Donald Trump. Tonight, as we watch the seemingly inevitable victory of Trump unfold, it’s becoming absolutely clear that the predictive and statistical poll-based models used by the most experienced professionals in the field are missing key components, or at minimum using bad training data.
Something is wrong with polling in general, the models that use the polling and the standard methodology in current use. In fact, up to 100 days prior to an election, [...]
Next year – suddenly out of nowhere – we’ll have a slew of new political prediction models all of them claiming to have been able to predict the Rise of Donald Trump, the Sanders Movement and even the recent exit of Britain from the European Union. Of course, all of them will be after the fact which has always been an easier thing to accomplish – and in the next cycle we’ll throw them all out and go back to the standard models that assume that most people will vote the way that they’re expected to vote under normal circumstances.
We’re talking about some major models breaking down in the face of unexpected changes using standard [...]
Let’s talk some politics today – it is the weekend after all and none of you have anything better to do. Come on. Admit it!!
At one of Bernie Sander’s campaign speeches on Friday, the most adorable little sparrow landed on his podium and just stayed there for about half a minute or so. Social media went insane with praise and talk about symbolism, especially on Twitter under the hashtag #BirdieSanders – a little word play on his name. The most interesting thing for me was his reaction. He just stood there looking at it. I think he was trying not to disturb it, or maybe he was trying to think of a good joke or pun to say but couldn’t come up [...]
Trumpertantrum (noun, adjective, pronoun, and whatever else you want it to be): (Definition) Throwing a fit so loud and so noisy, so violent, and unexpected, so unreasonable that it resembles the origin of the word itself. Donald Drumpf…oops..sorry, I meant Donald Trump.
You’ve seen the news. The short version of it is that for quite some time now every candidate has had protesters from the other side (Democrat/Republican) come to many of their events. They protest, sometimes a few insults are thrown here and there, and everyone then goes home feeling good about themselves and more convinced that they’re righteous. Ahhhh!!! Amu’rikaaahhh!